Analisa Penumpang dengan Metode SARIMA (Studi Kasus: Bandar Udara Raja Haji Fisabilillah)
Abstract
Abstract, Raja Haji Fisabilillah International Airport is an airport in Tanjungpinang and it is quite high in service levels for the flow of passengers and goods. Based on the data from Airport Quality Angkasa Pura II, the passengers growth has both decreased and increased in the last 3 (three) years. In 2015, there were 258,936 people in total and has decreased to 246,828 people in 2016 and increased again in 2017 by 351,688 people. Therefore, it is necessary to evaluate the terminal of the airport. The methods are used observation and forecasting is SARIMA. The evaluation and analysis results show that terminal of this airport still meet the applicable standards and passenger movements for the next year 2020 indicate that all equipment facilities for the needs of terminal passengers of Raja Haji Fisabilillah International Airport are still adequate.
Keywords: SARIMA, Forecasting, Passenger, Airport.
Abstrak, Bandar Udara Internasional Raja Haji Fisabilillah merupakan bandar udara yang ada di Kota Tanjungpinang dan merupakan bandara yang cukup tinggi dalam tingkat pelayanan terhadap arus penumpang maupun barang. Berdasarkan data dari Airport Quality Angkasa Pura II bahwa pertumbuhan penumpang mengalami penurunan dan peningkatan dalam 3 (tiga) tahun terakhir, tercatat data tahun 2015 sebanyak 258.936 orang, tahun 2016 menurun menjadi 246.828 orang dan meningkat kembali di tahun 2017 sebanyak 351.688 orang. Maka diperlukan evaluasi terhadap terminal penumpang dari bandara ini. Metode yang digunakan adalah observasi dan peramalan dengan SARIMA. Hasil evaluasi dan analisis menunjukkan bahwa terminal penumpang Bandar Udara Internasional Raja Haji Fisabilillah masih memenuhi standar dan syarat yang berlaku dan pergerakan penumpang untuk tahun mendatang 2020 menunjukkan seluruh fasilitas peralatan pelayanan kebutuhan terminal penumpang Bandar Udara Internasional Raja Haji Fisabilillah masih memadai.
Kata kunci: SARIMA, Peramalan, Penumpang, Bandara.
References
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[3] Akbar, SE. 2018. Evaluasi Kapasitas dan Tingkat Pelayanan Terminal Penumpang Bandar Udara Ahmad Yani, Surakarta: Universitas Muhammadiyah Surakarta.
[4] Destriyani, R D. 2019. Evaluasi Terminal Penumpang Bandar Udara Raja Haji Fisabilillah Tanjung Pinang dengan Metode ARIMA dan SNI 03-7046-2004, Batam: Universitas Internasional Batam.
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