ANALISIS FINANCIAL DISTRESS DENGAN MENGGUNAKAN BANKRUPTCY PREDICTION MODELS PADA EMITEN ROKOK PERIODE 2014-2018

Abstract

ABSTRACT

Financial Distress is a condition of financial difficulties where if this happens to the company foa along period of time, the company is in the initial stages before bankruptcy. Bankruptcy is a state of being or a situation in which company failed to or not able to meet obligations because firm experienced lack of. If the company goes bankrupt there will be many parties who are harmed. Therefore it is necessary to conduct financial distress analysis for early warning. The research aims to determine the financial health of the cigarette sub-sector companies by analyzing financial distress using three bankruptcy prediction models with Altman Z-Score, Springate, Grover and to determine which of these three models has the highest level of accuracy. The data used in this research is the company’s financial statements published on the Indonesia Stock Exchange website. The population in this research is the cigarette sub-sector companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in the 2014-2018 period. Based on the result of research shows that in the calculation Altman and Springate models, PT. Bentoel International Investama in the category of the company experiencing symptoms of bankruptcy. While in the Grover model calculation, all companies fall into category healthy companies. Of the three models that have the highest level of accuracy are Altman and Springate models by one hundred percent. This shows that Altman and Springate models have the correct prediction of the company correctly.